New study from Integer Research predicts SCR parc to almost triple between 2017-2023

LONDON, August 22, 2013 /PRNewswire/ --

Integer Research predicts the European and North American markets will dominate sales of SCR-equipped off highway equipment, with these regions accounting for more than two thirds of the machine parc using SCR after-treatment by 2023. Depending on the timing of Tier 4-equivalent legislation, China has the potential to rival both markets by 2023 and sales of NRMM with advanced exhaust after-treatment could surpass Europe and North America by 2023.

In Integer's base-case scenario, the global SCR-equipped NRMM parc grows rapidly over the period 2017-2023, from 1 million SCR vehicles globally to 5 million by 2023. Its upside scenario predicts an explosive growth between 2017-2023 which sees the SCR parc expand seven-fold over this period as a result of Tier 4 Final / Stage IV phase-in and end of flexibility schemes. 2017 would see a global SCR vehicle parc of 1 million growing towards 7 million by 2023.

This growth estimate is according to Integer's new Emissions Control in Non-Road Mobile Machinery (NRMM) Markets: 2013 Edition which forecasts non-road vehicle sales, PARC figures, after-treatment options and sales forecasts, AUS32 market forecasts while providing an up-to-date overview of global legislation. This is the only report to provide in-depth coverage of the market, past, current and future, discussing trends, future developments and providing forecasts for the NRMM market.

Download a related presentation and the table of contentshere.

As well as SCR, Integer has studied the DPF and EGR markets and predicts a rapid increase in DPF sales post 2014. The DPF market will be concentrated on the North American, European and to a lesser degree Japanese, markets following the implementation of more stringent emission legislation. Both construction and agricultural sectors provide the main markets for DPF. EGR technology will equally find its biggest non-road market in North America and Europe (87%). The BRIC countries are not expected to require DPF until post-2017 at the earliest and will start playing a bigger role when Tier 4 equivalents are rolled out post-2020.

Tim Cheyne, Director at Integer Research said: "Off-highway equipment manufacturers are addressing Tier 4 and Stage 4 requirements in a much more diverse way than we have seen in any other diesel emissions control markets. This creates opportunities for the most flexible and responsive component suppliers. We expect common technology paths to emerge, but at the moment the only clear theme is the widespread use of SCR - all other aspects vary tremendously across the market. Preparing this report has given us the opportunity to delve into the implications of these diverse strategies."

Besides the growth potential in Europe and North America, the BRIC countries offer attractive long-term opportunities. These opportunities depend on Tier 4 equivalent legislation implementation. China could be the key emerging market for advanced diesel after-treatment technology, and will generate most interest in terms of  SCR applications. This is an interesting contrast to Japan, where OEMs will lean towards a preference of EGR and DPF technology instead of SCR due to the smaller average engine size.

Integer has published a presentation examining prospects for emissions control in non-road mobile machinery, which you can download. The table of contents from the new edition of 'Emissions Control in Non-Road Mobile Machinery (NRMM) Markets' is available here. You can also request a call to discuss the new edition in more detail.

About Emissions Control in Non-Road Mobile Machinery (NRMM)

The second edition of Emissions Control in NRMM provides extensive coverage of diesel emission legislation, all major NRMM manufacturers and AUS32 consumption and supply. AdBlue participants will use this report to understand market dynamics and identify risk and opportunities for expansion while equipment suppliers will gain insight into the strategies embraced by the NRMM OEMs. They will use the forecast for PARC and sales data study to limit risk and increase market opportunities.

About Integer Research - Founded in 2003 and headquartered in London, Integer is a leading consultancy in the emissions controls sector, combining solid analysis of market information with technical expertise in emission controls, AdBlue, Diesel Exhaust Fluid (DEF) and ARLA 32.

Contact

For more information on Integer's Emissions Control in Non-Road Mobile Machinery (NRMM) Markets and its findings please contact Alicia Higham on +44-20-7503-1265 or alicia.higham@integer-research.com